UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick Northern Kentu
  
Northern Kentucky     
W-L: ( 0- 6) PR = 88.0214

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 0-11 303 A Louisville ACC (45-15, 95.6) 6-10 313 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 1-16 415 H Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 0- 6 515 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 3 516 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 0- 8

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A North Carolina          0-11     -11    -7    --    -4.49
   303 A Louisville              6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.27
   313 H Northwestern            1-16     -15    -7    ---   -7.34
   415 H Kentucky                0- 6      -6    -5          -1.03
   515 A Tennessee               1- 3      -2   -10    +++    7.64
   516 A Indiana                 0- 8      -8    -9           0.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Northwestern            1-16     -15    -7    ---   -7.34
   213 A North Carolina          0-11     -11    -7    --    -4.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Tennessee               1- 3      -2   -10    +++    7.64
   303 A Louisville              6-10      -4    -8    ++     4.27

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A North Carolina  (31-19, 93.8)     0-11       -6.11      13.26       0.74         4.20           -11.28
   3 A Louisville      (45-15, 95.6)     6-10       -4.35      15.02       0.74         4.20            -7.57
   3 H Northwestern    (29-20, 95.4)     1-16       -4.47      14.90      -0.74         4.20           -10.96
   3 H Kentucky        (28-27, 93.7)     0- 6       -6.17      13.20      -0.74         4.20           -14.52
   3 A Tennessee       (45-15, 96.9)     1- 3       -2.99      16.38       0.74         4.20            -4.71
   3 A Indiana         (41-17, 96.2)     0- 8       -3.67      15.70       0.74         4.20            -6.14
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -55.18

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -55.1798

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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